Sunday, November 16, 2014

Profitable holidays

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Mahindra Holidays & Resorts (MHR) is a Mahindra  group company with a very strong franchise in vacation ownership under the brand name Club Mahindra. Mahindra group holds 75% stake, FIIs hold about 12.5% stake and DIIs hold another 5%. So together more than 90% of the shares are owned by promoters and institutions. There can’t be any other comforting factor than these figures. This also means that the public holds merely 7-8% of the shares.
This is a very attractive company with 41 resorts and nearly 2500 rooms. Recently they have acquired a 19% stake in a leading European vacation ownership company Holiday Club. This company also has 32 resorts and 2800 rooms. And the agreement between the 2 is that in the next 2 years, Mahindra Holidays can own upto 74% stake in the company, thus making it a majority owned subsidiary. If this were to happen Club Mahindra will become a vacation ownership company not only in India but also globally.
This company had launched in IPO in June 2009 and has been growing ever since. 5 years ago, it had a turnover of merely 390 crore which has grown to nearly 770 crore today.And considering India’s demography, this growth can only accelerate in the coming years.
This company operates in markets where there is a huge young population with high aspirations. This has resulted in their membership count growing annually by about 18000. And considering the new govt’s focus on travel and tourism, MHR is bound to grow handsomely.
5 years ago, they had launched an IPO @300 per share. And despite growing ever since, this is now quoting even below that value at about 275 This only goes to show the Indian market’s utter disregard for fundamentals - management as well as growth quality. And they haven’t given any bonus or split since then.
Another thing worth noting is that recently Thomas Cook, the global travel and tours company acquired Sterling Holiday Resorts, a much smaller player in the same industry. And if u consider the valuations and price at which this deal was done, MHR is really quoting at dirt cheap levels.
This can only mean that with a very low floating stock, excellent growth prospects and cheap valuation,  Mahindra Holidays will only give handsome returns in the months and years ahead.

1 comment:

  1. Mahindra Holidays has given returns of 51% over the last 1 year when it was quoting at 275 compared to around 429 today. As I had said, the gap between the 2 was quite large then. And though it has reduced significantly, it still exists in no small measure.
    The biggest advantage that I think MH has over Thomas Cook is its overseas business. With the rupee cracking against the dollar, MH can only gain from the differential. And there is no sign of the rupee appreciating anytime soon. So its performance is likely to get a boost from external factors such as these, in addition to its own.

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